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NFL Standings 2026: Division Tables and Playoff Odds

Check the AFC standings and NFC standings division by division: each team's record and its chance to win the division, make the playoffs and earn the first-round bye.

2026 regular season, week 9: 121 of 272 games played.

Conference
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Columns

AFC standings

AFC East

TeamWLTPctPFPADiffDivConfHomeAwayStrkLast 5PlayoffsWin divisionNo. 1 seed
Buffalo Bills610.857233181+520–14–13–13–0W3WLWWW95.7%72%33%
New England Patriots530.625184162+223–05–13–02–3W1WWWLW79%28%6.7%
New York Jets260.250170188−180–22–31–31–3L3LWLLL0.7%0.1%<0.1%
Miami Dolphins160.143117181−641–11–40–31–3L1LLLWL0.3%0.1%<0.1%

AFC North

TeamWLTPctPFPADiffDivConfHomeAwayStrkLast 5PlayoffsWin divisionNo. 1 seed
Pittsburgh Steelers620.750180144+362–13–24–02–2W4LWWWW82%43%9.8%
Cincinnati Bengals520.714206158+481–14–22–13–1W3LLWWW80%42%9.6%
Cleveland Browns530.625139173−342–13–33–02–3L1WLWWL43%11%0.7%
Baltimore Ravens440.500179203−240–22–31–23–2L3WWLLL23%4.6%0.2%

AFC South

TeamWLTPctPFPADiffDivConfHomeAwayStrkLast 5PlayoffsWin divisionNo. 1 seed
Jacksonville Jaguars520.714196111+851–14–23–02–2W1WWWLW92.9%89%12%
Houston Texans250.286165170−52–12–30–42–1L1LLWWL17%8.9%<0.1%
Indianapolis Colts260.250161222−611–21–51–21–4L4WLLLL3.2%1.7%<0.1%
Tennessee Titans170.125144199−551–11–50–41–3L2LLWLL0.3%0.3%<0.1%

AFC West

TeamWLTPctPFPADiffDivConfHomeAwayStrkLast 5PlayoffsWin divisionNo. 1 seed
Denver Broncos620.750172165+72–13–14–02–2W4LWWWW91.6%68%21%
Kansas City Chiefs520.714167131+363–15–13–02–2L2WWWLL76%28%6.3%
Las Vegas Raiders440.500221230−91–13–31–33–1W1LLLLW15%3.6%<0.1%
Los Angeles Chargers070.00099175−760–30–40–30–4L7LLLLL0.4%<0.1%<0.1%

NFC standings

NFC East

TeamWLTPctPFPADiffDivConfHomeAwayStrkLast 5PlayoffsWin divisionNo. 1 seed
New York Giants421.643163161+21–0–12–2–13–11–1–1W1WWTLW67%64%2.0%
Dallas Cowboys350.375219213+62–12–41–22–3L1WLLWL19%16%<0.1%
Washington Commanders241.357159182−231–2–12–3–12–0–10–4W1WLTLW18%15%<0.1%
Philadelphia Eagles260.250137202−651–21–51–31–3L6LLLLL4.8%4.4%<0.1%

NFC North

TeamWLTPctPFPADiffDivConfHomeAwayStrkLast 5PlayoffsWin divisionNo. 1 seed
Minnesota Vikings610.85714093+472–14–13–03–1L1WWWWL91.2%49%32%
Chicago Bears620.750214160+540–24–23–13–1W3WLWWW85%26%15%
Detroit Lions520.714203180+232–04–14–01–2W3WLWWW73%20%11%
Green Bay Packers530.625171164+71–24–33–12–2W1WWWLW46%5.1%1.8%

NFC South

TeamWLTPctPFPADiffDivConfHomeAwayStrkLast 5PlayoffsWin divisionNo. 1 seed
Carolina Panthers340.429178193−151–13–31–22–2L2LWWLL27%25%0.1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers350.375178151+272–03–21–42–1W2LWLWW41%40%0.1%
Atlanta Falcons350.375171189−181–23–31–32–2L1WLLWL25%22%0.1%
New Orleans Saints250.286162194−320–11–30–32–2L1LLLWL14%13%<0.1%

NFC West

TeamWLTPctPFPADiffDivConfHomeAwayStrkLast 5PlayoffsWin divisionNo. 1 seed
San Francisco 49ers610.857197139+583–04–14–02–1L1WWWWL93.5%79%36%
Seattle Seahawks440.500185159+261–11–33–21–2L1WLLWL53%13%1.2%
Los Angeles Rams440.500194168+260–22–22–22–2W2WLLWW39%7.2%1.0%
Arizona Cardinals350.375175238−631–22–40–33–2W1LLWLW5.6%0.6%<0.1%

Order inside each table: win share, then the NFL tie-breaking procedure. Playoffs, Win division and No. 1 seed: share of 10,000 simulated finishes of the 151 games left, each played with the ratings; a share is never shown as a certainty.

Updated 2026-11-05 06:55 UTC

Seeds if the season ended today, “what if” picks for this week and every tie-breaker step: NFL playoff picture.

How the chances are calculated

Ratings. Every club has an Elo rating built from every game since 1999. Before a game the home side’s chance is 1 ÷ (1 + 10−(home rating − visitor rating + 50) ÷ 400): playing at home is worth 50 rating points, so between equal clubs the home side wins 57.1%; at a neutral site (London, the Super Bowl) nobody gets it. After each game both ratings move by 20 × (result − chance) × a margin factor: a rout moves them more than a field goal, and a favourite’s rout less than an underdog’s. Between seasons each rating keeps 50% of its distance from average.

Settings. The step (20), the home edge (50) and the carry-over (50%) are the best of a grid on the 2000–2022 seasons (lowest log-loss of the pre-game chances); 2023–2025 were kept aside to test them.

Spread and chance. A spread converts to a chance as P(favourite wins) = Φ(spread ÷ 11.7), Φ the normal curve; 11.7 is the value that fits the results of every closing spread of 1999–2022 best. A 3-point favourite wins about 60%, a 7-point favourite about 73%.

Simulation. The remaining games are played 10,000 times with the ratings (a simulated result moves them too), ties at the rate of the 10-minute-overtime era (0.3%), then the NFL tie-breaking procedure picks division winners and wild cards, and the playoffs are played out: the higher seed at home, the Super Bowl at a neutral site.

Simplified. Simulated games have no score, so the steps on points (combined ranking, net points) use the games played so far; net touchdowns are not in the data, so that step counts as level and the next one is a coin toss.

How good is the model

Hold-out test. The settings were fixed on 2000–2022; then the ratings forecast every one of the 816 regular-season games of 2023–2025 before kick-off. Lower log-loss and Brier scores are better; “always the home side” gives the home club its 2000–2022 win rate, 56.4%.

ForecastWinner pickedLog-lossBrier
Our ratings (Elo)63.8%0.6360.223
Market: closing moneyline without the margin68.3%0.6080.210
Always the home side53.9%0.6910.249
Coin flip (50/50)50.0%0.6930.250

Honest result: the ratings beat a coin and the home side, but the closing market beats the ratings – it knows injuries, weather and starters. Use our chances as a second opinion, not as a reason to bet.

This season, for real: over its 121 regular-season games so far the ratings picked the winner in 61% (market 65%, home side 53%); log-loss 0.652 (market 0.649, coin 0.693).

Calibration on the hold-out games: when the ratings gave the home side a chance in a range, how often it won.

We gave the home sideGamesHome side won
0%–30% (on average 24%)4134%
30%–40% (on average 36%)7934%
40%–50% (on average 45%)16338%
50%–60% (on average 55%)18350%
60%–70% (on average 65%)17166%
70%–80% (on average 74%)13072%
80%–100% (on average 84%)4986%

In-sample, 2000–2022 (5,903 games): ratings 64.2% winners picked, log-loss 0.630; market 66.3%, 0.612.

NFL playoff picture: seeds, odds and tiebreakers →NFL schedule: every game with win chances →Super Bowl odds: fair chances for every team →

Data: nflverse (schedule, scores, closing lines; licence CC BY), checked every 6 hours; nothing is published unless every club has its games, the division games match the alignment and the playoff games fit the bracket from the tie-breakers. Rules: NFL tie-breaking procedures, Wikipedia: NFL playoffs.

Woman holding a small board with an empty table grid

What each division standings column means

ColumnMeaning
WWins
LLosses
TTies – each counts as half a win and half a loss
PctWin share: wins plus half the ties, divided by games played
PFPoints for: points the team scored
PAPoints against: points the team allowed
DiffPoints for minus points against
DivRecord against teams in the same division
ConfRecord against teams in the same conference
HomeRecord in home games
AwayRecord in road games
StrkCurrent run of straight wins or losses
Last 5Results of the last five games
PlayoffsChance to get one of 7 conference playoff spots
Win divisionChance to finish first in the division
No. 1 seedChance to be the top seed and skip the wild-card round

Order inside each table: win share, then the NFL tie-breaking procedure. The tool names the step that separates tied teams.

How the NFL is built

Teams

32

Two conferences: the AFC and the NFC.

Divisions

8

4 per conference: East, North, South and West.

Teams per division

4

Each table in the tool has 4 rows.

Games per team

17

Regular-season games for every team. See them all on the schedule.

Canadian league

The CFL has its own division tables and playoff chances.

Division winner vs wild card

Division winner

  • Finishes first of the 4 teams in its division
  • Gets seed 1–4, ordered by overall record
  • Hosts a wild-card game, unless it is the top seed
  • Only the top seed skips the first round

Wild card

  • One of the 3 best records among non-division winners
  • Gets seed 5–7
  • Plays its first playoff game on the road
  • Cannot get the bye

How the playoff chances are computed

  1. Read the resultsScores of finished games come from nflverse open data, refreshed several times a day.
  2. Rate each teamElo ratings from past results, adjusted for margin of victory, with a home edge. Settings fitted on older seasons, tested on newer ones.
  3. Play out the seasonEvery remaining game is simulated, the Super Bowl as a neutral-site game. The season is run 10,000 times.
  4. Apply NFL rulesIn each run, NFL rules pick division winners, wild cards and seeds.
  5. Count the shareA chance is the share of runs in which the team won the division, made the playoffs or got the bye.

Sources

Questions

How often are the NFL standings updated?

Several times a day, by themselves, from nflverse open game data (licence CC BY 4.0). If the data is too old, the tool hides the numbers.

How does a tie count in the NFL standings?

A tie game counts as half a win and half a loss for both teams.

How many teams make the NFL playoffs?

Since the 2020 season, 7 per conference: 4 division winners and 3 wild cards. Only the top seed in each conference gets a first-round bye.

What is the difference between AFC standings and NFC standings?

They are the two conferences. Each has 4 divisions of 4 teams and sends its own 7 teams to the playoffs.

Where are Super Bowl chances for each team?

On the Super Bowl odds page, from the same simulation. They are estimates, not predictions to rely on.