Hockey
NHL over/under: hockey totals and the Grand Salami
Enter the expected goals of both teams to see the chance of each total. Below, compare real NHL over/under results with and without overtime.
Over 6.5 needs 7 goals or more. That happens in about 50 games in 100 like this one. Half lines never push. The overtime or shootout winner’s goal counts.
What it does
When a team trails by one goal late, it pulls its goalie. Fitted to two NHL seasons: the leader then scores 22% of the time and the trailer ties it 19% of the time. This brings ties after 60 minutes and one-goal results in line with real games. Off = plain Poisson.
How many goals: whole game
overunderpush
Half lines and whole lines
| Line | Over (fair) | Push | Under (fair) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 1.25 | − | 5.08 |
| 5 | 1.31 | 17.1% | 4.21 |
| 5.5 | 1.58 | − | 2.71 |
| 6 | 1.74 | 13.2% | 2.36 |
| 6.5 | 2.00 | − | 2.00 |
| 7 | 2.55 | 17.8% | 1.64 |
| 7.5 | 3.11 | − | 1.47 |
| 8 | 4.04 | 9.8% | 1.33 |
Model: goals in 60 minutes follow a Poisson pattern fitted to your moneyline and total (expected goals home 3.37, away 2.88). Margin removed in proportion. Overtime and shootout treated as a coin flip; empty-net adjustment on.
How it is calculated
Expected goals for each team are fitted to your moneyline and total (margin removed in proportion). Goals in 60 minutes: Poisson for each team. A tie after 60 minutes adds one goal for the overtime or shootout winner, so a game tied 3–3 after 60 minutes finishes with 7 goals.
Fair price on a whole line = 1 ÷ (over ÷ (over + under)): a push returns the stake, so it is left out.
NHL goals per game
Final score
6.25Average goals per game in 2025-26, overtime included. In 2024-25: 6.08.
Regulation only
6.01Average goals per game in the three periods of regulation, 2025-26. In 2024-25: 5.87.
Games past regulation
24.8%Share of 2025-26 games tied after regulation: 207 ended in overtime, 119 in a shootout.
How often NHL games go over
| Line | 2025-26 | 2024-25 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 80.6% | 75.6% |
| Over 5.5 | 57.3% | 53.7% |
| Over 6.5 | 46.9% | 42.3% |
| Games in season | 1,312 | 1,312 |
Share of games whose final total went over the line. The under share is the rest. Past seasons do not predict a single game.
Full-game total vs regulation total
Total with OT and shootout
- Counts overtime goals and one goal for the shootout winner
- A game tied 3–3 and won in a shootout is settled 4–3: seven goals
- Average 6.25 goals per game in 2025-26
- More games go over the same line
Regulation total
- Counts only goals in the three periods, before any overtime
- A game tied 3–3 counts six goals, whatever happens after
- Average 6.01 goals per game in 2025-26
- Marked Regular Time on the market
Break-even chance for a totals price
Break-even chance = 1 ÷ decimal odds
Example: For example −110: 1 + 100 ÷ 110 = 1.91, so 1 ÷ 1.91 = 52.4%. Compare it with the chance the calculator shows.
Totals terms
- Total (over/under)
- A bet on the combined goals of both teams: over or under a line. Full explanation: Over/under explained.
- Half-goal line
- A line like 5.5 or 6.5. The score cannot land on it, so the bet always wins or loses.
- Push (void)
- Total exactly on a whole-number line. On PROLINE it is void: a single is refunded; in a parlay the leg is removed and the stake stays on the remaining legs.
- Grand Salami
- One line for the total of all goals in all NHL games of a day.
- Puck line
- A goal handicap instead of a total. See Puck line explained.
Sources
- olg.ca /en/proline/proline-game-conditions.html · checked Oct 27, 2026
Questions
What does over/under mean in NHL betting?
You bet on the total goals of both teams: over or under a line such as 5.5. More hockey markets: How to bet on hockey.
Does overtime count in an NHL over/under?
It depends on the market. On PROLINE, a total with no stated timeframe includes overtime and the shootout, with one goal for the shootout winner. A Regular Time total counts regulation only.
What is the Grand Salami in hockey?
A single line for the total goals scored in all NHL games of one day. Postponed or abandoned games are settled under the operator's rules; check them in the rules of your province's product.
What happens if the total lands exactly on the line on PROLINE?
The offer is void. A single bet is refunded. In a parlay, that leg is removed and the stake stays on the remaining legs.
How often do NHL games go over 5.5 goals?
In 2025-26, 57.3% of games went over 5.5, against 53.7% in 2024-25. Past results do not predict a single game.