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NFL betting math

8 NFL pages. Game chances and rankings come from our own Elo model, updated from the league feed.

All pages in this section

Every AFC and NFC team's chance for each seed, the playoff bracket if the season ended today, what-if scenarios and NFL tiebreakers.

See the win chance for every NFL game of the week, the fair price and matching point spread, and how the model compares with the market.

See every NFL team ranked by an Elo rating from game results, learn how ratings move after each game and how well they call winners.

Mark the teams you have used and see the path through every remaining NFL week with the highest chance to survive, using Elo win chances.

Turn anytime TD odds into a chance and a payout, combine two players, and see the margin built into anytime touchdown scorer prices.

See the NFL division standings for the AFC and NFC, with each team's record and its chance to win the division, make the playoffs and get the bye.

See the NFL schedule this week and for the whole 2026 season: kickoff in your time zone, final scores, win chances and the fair point spread.

See every NFL team's chance to win the Super Bowl from a season simulation, its fair futures price, and measure the margin of a futures list.