Hockey

How to Bet on Hockey: NHL Betting Markets Explained

Tap a market on the sample game line to see what wins it and how overtime counts. Below are the numbers from the last two NHL regular seasons that decide each bet.

Example
Home wins57.4%fair 1.74
Away wins42.6%fair 2.35

With the margin taken out, the home team wins about 57 games in 100 like this one, overtime and shootout included. Only 37 in 100 are wins by 2 goals or more – that is what the home puck line −1.5 needs.

The line you see
Moneyline
Total goals
Line
6.5
What it does

When a team trails by one goal late, it pulls its goalie. Fitted to two NHL seasons: the leader then scores 22% of the time and the trailer ties it 19% of the time. This brings ties after 60 minutes and one-goal results in line with real games. Off = plain Poisson.

Fair prices for every market of this game

Moneylineovertime and shootout count
Home1.7457.4%
Away2.3542.6%
60-minute line3-way: a tie after 60 minutes is its own result
Home2.1546.6%
Tie4.6221.6%
Away3.1531.8%
Puck linehome −1.5 / away +1.5
Home −1.52.6937.2%
Away +1.51.5962.8%
Puck linehome +1.5 / away −1.5
Home +1.51.3176.2%
Away −1.54.2123.8%
Total 6.5goals incl. the overtime or shootout winner’s goal
Over2.0050.0%
Under2.0050.0%

One picture: which results each bet needs

Goal difference after 60 minutes and the results each market needs5%4+6%313%28%122%tie9%117%29%311%4+← away aheadhome ahead →after 60 minutesMoneyline (a tie goes to OT: 50% each)away 43%home 57%60-minute 3-wayaway 32%home 47%Puck line: home −1.5 or away +1.5away +1.5 63%home −1.5 37%Puck line: away −1.5 or home +1.5away −1.5 24%home +1.5 76%

A one-goal win in 60 minutes and every overtime or shootout game look the same to the puck line: the −1.5 side loses them all.

Where the margin sits

Moneyline adds up to 104.3% margin 4.3%

Homeyou get 1.67 · fair 1.74
Awayyou get 2.25 · fair 2.35

Total 6.5 adds up to 104.7% margin 4.7%

Overyou get 1.91 · fair 2.00
Underyou get 1.91 · fair 2.00

The two moneyline prices add up to 104.3%, not 100%: the extra 4.3% is the book’s margin. The red end of each bar is the part of the price that is margin.

Model: goals in 60 minutes follow a Poisson pattern fitted to your moneyline and total (expected goals home 3.37, away 2.88). Margin removed in proportion. Overtime and shootout treated as a coin flip; empty-net adjustment on.

How it is calculated

Fair chance = (1 ÷ price) ÷ (sum of 1 ÷ price for both sides). Margin = sum − 100%.

We then find the expected goals for each team so that a Poisson model gives the same fair moneyline and the same over/under split. From that one model come the 60-minute 3-way, the puck lines and the total. A tie after 60 minutes is settled in overtime or a shootout, and the winner gets one goal added to the final score.

Puck line lab →60-minute line converter →Goal distribution →Margin calculator →

Woman in a hockey ready stance with a puck on her stick

NHL betting markets at a glance

How NHL games end: two seasons

Regular season2025-262024-25
Games played1,3121,312
Decided in regulation986 games1,041 games
Went past 60 minutes24.8%20.7%
Decided in overtime207 games194 games
Decided in shootout119 games77 games
Home team won (final)52.2%56.3%
Home win after 60 minutes40.0%45.1%
Tie after 60 minutes24.8%20.7%
Away win after 60 minutes35.1%34.2%
One-goal win in regulation18.4%17.6%
Win by two or more in regulation56.8%61.7%
One-goal margin at the final43.2%38.3%
Goals per game (final)6.256.08
Goals per game (regulation)6.015.87

Regular-season games only, from NHL API data. OT and shootout games count as one-goal finals.

Puck line: who wins at each final marginThe favourite at minus 1.5 wins only if it wins by 2 goals or more. The underdog at plus 1.5 wins if it wins the game or loses by 1 goal.Final margin, from the favourite's sideLosesby 2+Losesby 1Winsby 1Winsby 2Winsby 3+loseslosesloseswinswinsFavourite −1.5winswinswinsloseslosesUnderdog +1.5
Puck line ±1.5: which final margins win for the favourite at −1.5 and for the underdog at +1.5.

How to read a hockey line

  1. Find the market nameMoneyline, puck line, total, 60-minute line or period. The name usually tells you whether overtime counts; check the book's rules.
  2. Read the priceFor example, −200 marks the favourite and +150 the underdog. On a two-way line, both sides can be priced at −110.
  3. Think in decimal oddsAt OLG, payouts are calculated on decimal odds, whatever format you see on the screen.
  4. Spot the 3-wayFor example: home 2.40, tie 4.20, away 2.70. The tie after 60 minutes is its own pick.
  5. Check what happens on the lineAt OLG, a total or spread exactly on the line is void. A void single is refunded.

Sources

  • olg.ca /en/proline/proline-game-conditions.html · checked Oct 27, 2026

Questions

How does NHL betting work in Canada?

You pick a market – moneyline, puck line, total, 60-minute line, period or prop – at a set price. Where and how you can bet depends on the laws of your province; this page is not legal advice.

Does the NHL moneyline include overtime and shootouts?

Usually yes, but rules vary by book. At OLG PROLINE, team markets with no stated time frame include OT and shootouts. The 60-minute line settles after three periods only.

What is first period betting in the NHL?

A bet on the first period only: its winner, a tie, or total goals. Goals scored later, overtime and the shootout do not count.

Are there hockey betting tips that work?

No. Prices include the seller's cut, so every bet has a cost that no tip removes. Numbers help you understand bets: in 2025-26, 24.8% of games went past 60 minutes, which changes how each market settles.

What happens if an NHL total lands exactly on the line?

At OLG PROLINE, an over/under exactly on the line is void. A void single is refunded; in a parlay, that leg is removed. Other books may use different rules.